My 2012 Election Prediction 7-2-2012

O.K. Friends, I've been pretty accurate in my Election predictions over my Blogging time, which dates to before the 1999 Debacle of The Hanging Chads, one I predicted that Al Gore would win by a Squeaker,.. But, I hadn't taken in to account, the fact that Jeb Bush was the Governor of an Important state like Florida. Nor, had I even imagined in my wildest dreams, that an election would be decided by a Supreme Court full of G.H.W. Bush appointees of a Conservative bent

The only reason I even predicted that Election would be a squeaker, was Gore's poor decision to try to distance himself from the most successful Democratic Administration since FDR. His avoidance of the scandals, the attempted Impeachment, and all the stained dress jokes, was a very bad decision, because while it was an effort to bring in the "Family Values" Independents, it lost him a lot of the Party base, because most Democrats at that time, would have voted to set aside the 22nd Amendment, and elected Willie Jeff to a Third term. So, a strategy meant to attract swing voters, sent that targeted demographic straight to the Bush side, and prevented what could have been a Gore landslide, (even without the state of Florida), into an unprecedented Supreme Court appointment of what I still call "The Bush / Cheney Junta".

So, with my one admitted Failure at predicting these things behind us, here's my reasoning about this year's prediction. 

With 120 Days until Election Day 2012, polls are starting to turn in President Obama's favor. In Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia, Important States all, Willard Romney's former leads are dissolving. Leads based on his Business acumen, and supposed ability to run the Economy based on his business successes have disappeared. Partially, this is because of his refusal to show his Tax records, and with his inflated claims of how he saved the Salt Lake Olympics, claiming he left the Olympic Committee with a huge surplus, without mentioning that most of that surplus, and any reported profits claimed, were only there because of nearly a Billion Dollars of Federal money, (Taxpayer Money), was injected to forestall failure of those Games.

Willard's Foreign Policy skills, (or lack thereof), is another factor in his declining Poll numbers. Not only did he insult our Mother Country with his put-down of their Olympics presentation, but he also offended both The Israeli's and The Palestinians, first with his Anti-Semitic remarks regarding Israel's "Cultural Superiority", then added to that insult, by comparing  the two Nation's striking economic differences, without any acknowledgement that The Palestinians live in an Occupied Territory, and have for the past 60 years ! About the Only people he didn't offend on his first attempt at International relations, were the Polish people, and , well, they're Polish ! That was a Joke People. The Poles now have the most dynamic economy is Europe, outside of the Germans, and theirs is expanding faster than their old nemesis.
So, this failed Foreign relations venture, which was really just a Fundraising trip, turned into a massive Fail. It started with his racist comments in Australia, where a Campaign staffer said they thought that the Aussie's could better relate to Willard than to Obama, because they and Willard shared a WASP background, or as he put it, "A sense of "Anglo-Saxon" Traditions", which is to say, "Obama's a dumb Negro", which went over like a lead balloon with that audience, who's ancestors were deported to Australia for their failure to comply with the Laws and Traditions of  their Anglo-Saxon "Mother Country".

Romney Republicans Piss Me Off,...(Again)

5-25-2012 Hello Blog Friends ! Here's what's on my mind today: I'm kinda upset at the Democrats who say that it isn't "proper" for The President to use Willard Romney's record at Bain Capitol as a part of his campaign rhetoric ? Why Not ? If Romney is making his business experience, and record of successes as part of his stump speech, I believe the President has every right to use that same material to demonstrate that Romney has No connection to the Average citizen, and with Romney's support of the radical Republican Budget proposal, the Public has every Right to see just where another Republican Administration would take us.
 Yes, It would be Nice to go back to the Eisenhower Era, when the Nation was still feeling the growth of the Post-war years, and we Baby Boomers were in our Infancy, But, that's no more possible than the trips Marty Mc Fly took in the "Back to The Future" movies.
 Where Romney want's to takes Us is back to the Bush/ Cheney years, when the Wealthy had all the advantages possible, and the Welfare System had to be reborn to take care of the disintegrating middle class.
The Republicans want the Voters to see the slow growth of the economy under President Obama, and ignore the fact that the Bush years created the financial disaster that Obama faced on his first day in Office. The Truth, is that it's an amazing fact that we have any growth at all, given the Worst financial meltdown since the Great Depression.
 What Really, Really pisses me off, is that Willard has even tried to claim credit for the Auto Industry's amazing comeback, saved by the very same Bail-Out that the Repub's have bitched about since day one ! These same Idiots have tried to sell the idea that Obama-care is a mess, and a huge burden on small business, which is keeping them from growing new jobs, when every fact points to lowering Health Care costs in a more competitive environment. Another Great thing that's happened, is that Families with children with Pre-existing conditions are now being covered in Health Care Policies for the first time ever, so there will never be another Family losing everything because of Medical costs of one of their loved ones. All this, and yet most of the Benefits of so-called Obama Care don't even go into effect until 2014 !

2012, Election Year Thoughts and Opinions(See Update Below )

DateLine: 1-25-2012

Hello Blog Mates ! It seems like only a few weeks since I last updated this Blog, when in reality, it's been way longer than that, (16 months ?).

Maybe that's because Nobody took my warnings seriously, which resulted in a severe ass-whoopin' in the Mid-Term elections.

This backlash reaction to President Obama's first 2 years in office has given us the Idiot Tea-baggers who have been behind the down-grading of our US Credit Rating,(for the First Time Ever), so they are also the kernel of the "Just Say No to Everything" gridlock in both Houses of Congress.

 This time around, we are faced with the choice of giving Our President more time to deal with the crock of shit he inherited from the Bush/Cheney junta, and maybe a chance to get some actual Progress accomplished, instead of facing a right-wing road block to even the most politically neutral legislation.

Last night's "State of The Union" address was one of President Obama's better speeches, and while it was well received by most people, it was predictably criticized as a "Partisan Campaign Speech" by the Republican Presidential Primary candidates. To Me, (and most moderate viewers), it seemed like a challenge to a House divided, one which was achieved the Lowest Approval rating ever garnered by a Congress of these United States!
Obama's comments on the teamwork and sacrifice of Our Military, and how the Government should feel the same call to Duty was a deft political move, as was his asking them, (Congress), to re-engage in solving the Deficit, bringing our Tax Code back into reality, and rewarding businesses which bring their Jobs back to America.
How Any of those goals are Partisan is beyond me ?

I also don't view  his call for better limits and rules regarding Campaign Finance laws as Partisan, or Liberal, since the best efforts to fix this mess have come from Republicans like John McCain, furthermore, these PAC's and Super-Pac's, along with the misguided judges who declared Corporations to be "People Too" has been opposed by Actual People across the political spectrum. That's pretty much what's on my mind Today, but this is An Election Year, and that gets me pumped-up and ready to Blog and Battle for what I know to be The Right Thing to Do.
.

The Hermanator Returns ! (5-6-2012) Update:

Hello Blog Friends ! Yes, I've been quite a Slacker in recent months, blame it on all the good games offered by Zynga Games on FaceBook !
But, it's Election Time again, and already I have been fascinated, angered, and confused by the Republican's pre-primary campaigning. Seldom in American Political history have such a wide selection of incompetents, bumblers and fools made themselves available for ridicule and scorn !.
That Perennial Candidate Mitten Romney is again on the campaign trail, and has displayed his wondrous gift for vacillation and changing with the polls and winds. Although Mitt has been considered the "front-runner" from the start, his polling has lagged behind nearly every other candidate, with a new "Non-Mitt" emerging as the top pick after each of the countless debates.
Despite his used-car salesman looks, and his constant flip-flopping, Governor Romney is undoubtedly 1 of the only 3 candidates with the intellect and experience to become President, with the other two being Newt Gingrich and Jon Huntsman.

(5-6-2012) Update: Here we are, with 7 long months before the General Election. Willard is pretty much The Republican Candidate now, with Santorum and Newt now resigned to being the "Also Rans", and praying for some help with their Campaign Debt,..and maybe some "Mic Time" at the Convention? 


On the Correct side of the General Election, President Obama made his first Official Campaign speeches in Ohio and Virginia yesterday. Critics are quick to point out that he has been visiting colleges and 'fund-raisers' for weeks now, and that's true, but yesterday was the first time he had used the "Forward" Slogan as part of the Stump speech.

 Judging by the loud and rambunctious University crowd at that Event, it seems as though The President is going to be able to ensure that he has the Youthful Vote securely in hand right from the Get-Go of this election season. CNN spoke with some local Campaign Volunteers who are happily picking up where they left-off in 2008. 
His ability to generate the enthusiasm of those under-40 Voters will be the key to a re-election that is closer to a Landslide than the "Sqeaker" that will result if Obama can only motivate Baby Boomer Progressives and the traditional Blue Collar base of the Party. 
It's shaping up to be a very intense and brutal battle, this Election, as well as super-polarizing alongside a deep philosophical divide that already exists  within each Party, and in the Nation as a whole.
This Point of Contention exists in every election year, and the basics are this; Conservatives believe that Liberals are anti-business, pro-socialism, less patriotic, and less "God fearing" than they themselves are. They also seem to believe that, given just one more chance, Supply Side Economics, and it's mythical companion "Trickle-Down" Will Work ! Yes, despite 30 years economic History, and practical application, they still believe that failed policy should be revived, and that The Bush Tax Cuts should be written in stone, much as the Ten Commandments.

It's that narrow minded Luddite thinking that has me convinced, that My Party, "The Patriotic Liberal Party", should be filled with clear-thinking moderates from Both Parties, and be the First Third Party to gain credence for more than one Election Cycle. I'm serious here People ! The two-party System has become too Polarized, and has cost so much time, money, and Gridlock, that it can no longer be seen as a working relationship that benefits the Nation, and Points-of-View are so far apart that no bridge of Reason can cross that Gap.  
What do YOU Think ?

Like I said, It's going to be an amazing year for Political Junkies like myself ! 

Grassroots Democrats and Progressives Arise ! (NoW)

A short Two Years after the election of Barack Obama, all those first-time Voters, ( and many traditional Democrats ), have either lost their enthusiasm for politics, or, sadly, many are "drinking the Kool Aid" of the Tea-Party nutjobs, and of those Very Same Republicans who got US in this mess in the first place.

Now, let me state that I voted for John McCain. Not because I approved of his flaky choice of a VP Candidate, but because he is a fellow Naval Aviator, and because he has been a Hero of mine since the day he arrived back on American soil. On that Momentous day, just released POW McCain refused to debark on crutches or a wheelchair, instead, he stumbled down that ramp from the aircraft, fell to his knees, and kissed the ground of the Nation he had suffered so much for. Senator McCain is also the Only Republican that I have consistently agreed with over the years.

That said, I knew that Obama was going to carry Indiana, a feat that no Democrat had accomplished since LBJ won the Election of 1964. Personally, I was rooting for Hillary to be the Dem's Candidate, and I really resented the way she was treated by the Party Leadership, especially the Rules Committee that gave 1/2 her Michigan Votes to Obama, who hadn't even run in that Huge Union State.

Back to Today: We are in danger of losing control of Congress, which will render Obama a "Lame Duck" President for the second half of his Term. This will also pretty much ensure that he won't get any further legislation passed, and will end up another "One Term Wonder", like Jimmy Carter.

These two events will almost assure that we get another conservative Republican as our Next President, in which case, all of us that are mere Millionaires and below, will pretty much become a disenfranchised under-class, and Big Oil, Big Health Care, and Big Wall Street will finish their destruction of the Our economy, and finish the sale of America's future to the Chinese, and / or the Arab Oil Countries.
The reason they call these huge Corporations "Multi-Nationals", is because they know no loyalty but to profit, and to the advancement of their own interests and fortunes. When America becomes unlivable, and falls into revolt and chaos, these folks will still have their homes on Islands they own, or anywhere in Europe, or South America, where they can live just fine with their billions on Yen, Reals, Pesos, or whatever replaces the Dollar as the International Currency !

Sound Alarmist to You ??
Well,.. If I had told you on the day President Clinton left office (with Trillions of Dollars of economic surplus), that The Bush Family's idiot son George would steal the election from Al Gore, give All that surplus money to the super-rich, and then would ignore all warnings and briefings about Usama Bin Laden, and concentrate all our intelligence gathering toward finding a reason to invade Iraq, would you have believed me ?
Well, I might not have believed those predictions myself, but, you had better believe Me this time, because I don't want to be right about this forecast, especially after it has come to pass !

So, What can we do ? Get out and Vote ! "Vote Early, and Vote Often", as the old saying goes ! LoL

If you worked for Obama's Election, if you talked to neighbors, friends and family about the importance of that Election, then you had better do Twice as much right now, because keeping the Republicans out of office Now, is just as important as putting this Administration in place in 2008. Maybe it's more important ?

100 Years in The Making !

Finally, after 46 years,( since the Medicare Program was created ), We, The People have a National Health Care Program !
I could sure have used this back when I was raising my son, and had to either lie about my income, work a second job "under the Table", or remain 'under-employed' so I would have Medicaid for my boy's Health Care.
In reality, congress has been striving to provide a national health care plan since Teddy Roosevelt's Administration. Yes, Ol' Rough-Ridin' Teddy, The man who gave us our National Parks System, also foresaw the need for more Doctors and Hospitals, and a way for America's working people to have the same quality and availability of Health Care that the privileged Class of people he came from enjoyed !

As a life-long Democrat, I will be the first to admit that LBJ's "Great Society" programs gave entitlement to welfare to millions of people who became trapped in the rules and regulations of that flawed program, and that it created 5 or 6 generations of a Welfare-addicted underclass of criminals and teen-aged "baby machines".

That program had many flaws, and they weren't really corrected until the Clinton Administration's reforms, which created "WorkFare", and pretty much ended Welfare as we knew it.
This set of programs will have it's flaws too, and the may be numerous, and costly, but they will be fixed quickly, and at Least they have made a start on reform !

What do you all Think ?

Hi Blog-o-philes !